Sweden vs Slovakia: prediction for the UEFA Nations League match

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2024-11-16 20:45
UEFA Nations League
2024-11-16 20:45:00
UEFA Nations League
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The Swedish national team has won 5 of their last 6 home matches. Slovakia is on a six-game unbeaten streak in regulation time. Slovakia has never defeated Sweden in their history; in eight meetings, there have been four draws and four Swedish victories.

Sweden 

In their group, Sweden has been showcasing impressive football, collecting 10 points from 4 games. Their only draw came against Slovakia in the first round (2:2), which was an away game. Now playing at home, Sweden has the advantage. With a dynamic attacking lineup, they are likely to exhibit strong offensive actions again. This is backed by their goal-scoring record: 11 goals in 4 matches.

Given that the competition in League C is not at the highest level, Sweden typically plays from a position of strength. They dominate possession and create numerous chances. For example, against Estonia (3:0), they generated an xG of 2.49. A similar performance can be expected against Slovakia, with Viktor Gyökeres and his teammates in excellent form.

Slovakia

Slovakia is performing well and remains in contention for promotion, possibly even directly, if they manage an upset against Sweden. The Slovaks are currently second in the group, trailing Sweden only on goal difference (8:3). They will rely on counterattacks, as they did in their previous meeting with Sweden, where they produced an xG of 1.83. Another end-to-end game could create plenty of scoring opportunities.

While Slovakia lacks the individual talents found in Sweden’s squad, their approach relies on disciplined and committed midfield play, particularly in home games. However, their defensive frailties are more evident on the road, as seen even against Azerbaijan (3:1).

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Prediction

Sweden has performed impressively in the current Nations League and is expected to secure the crucial three points at home. My prediction is a home win with odds of 1.66.

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