Current WTA ranking: 80
Strengths: Dolehide demonstrates consistency in her game, especially against strong opponents. She serves quite confidently, with a good first serve percentage. Caroline showed great form in Guangzhou, where she reached the final, and also reached the semifinals at the Washington 500 event. Achievements: Finalist in Guangzhou, semifinalist in Washington.
2025 results: She has shown good form, defeating Anastasia Zakharova in a recent match, but has also had losses, such as to Elina Svitolina at the Australian Open.
Current WTA ranking: 72
Strengths: Gracheva is known for her strong return game and solid physical conditioning. While her level of play can vary, she has produced impressive results at challenger events and surprised many with her performances in higher-level tournaments. Varvara showed excellent form in her recent Austin tournament, defeating Peyton Stearns in a dominant fashion. Achievements: Semifinalist at the Hong Kong Challenger. Runner-up at the Austin tournament (2024).
2025 results: She defeated Peyton Stearns in Austin but also had a few losses, such as at the Australian Open.
Both players have shown good form, and the match promises to be intense. While Gracheva appears slightly more stable in terms of her playing style, Dolehide is capable of challenging anyone, especially on hard court. They previously met in Auckland in 2022, where Gracheva won.
However, in this matchup, I would lean toward Caroline Dolehide winning, based on her strong recent performances and experience against top-level players. Dolehide has shown excellent serving and confidence in key moments, which could make a decisive difference.
Expected outcome: Caroline Dolehide wins.
Odds for victory: 1.93 for Dolehide’s win (according to GGBet), 2.00 for Gracheva’s win (according to VBet).
Expected final result: The match will be tight, but Dolehide has a slight edge at this moment.
Caroline Dolehide is the slight favorite in this matchup. The American has shown strong form recently, with excellent serving and consistent performances against top-tier players. Varvara Gracheva, while capable, has been less consistent and may struggle under the pressure of Dolehide’s aggressive play. With Dolehide’s strong hard court game, we expect her to secure a confident win.
Our prediction is Dolehide to win with a -3.5 handicap at odds of 1.93.
