Tommy Paul is a 26-year-old tennis player from the USA, currently ranked in the top 20 of the world rankings. The American relies on his quick movement across the court, a stable forehand, and the ability to vary his playstyle. In 2023, he reached the semifinals of the Australian Open and won a bronze medal in doubles at the 2024 Olympic Games.
Paul feels confident on home soil, where he traditionally receives strong support from the crowd. Moreover, he has been in good form this season, defeating strong opponents.
Daniil Medvedev is one of the most consistent players in recent years. The Russian is known for his powerful serve, patience in rallying, and high tennis IQ. He won the 2021 US Open, reached the finals of other Grand Slam tournaments, and consistently delivers top-level performances on hard courts.
Notably, Medvedev has faced Paul before and defeated him in this very tournament last year, although it was a challenging match. In their head-to-head encounters, Medvedev leads 3-1, and he has comfortably won on fast surfaces.
Paul is a dangerous opponent, but Medvedev has several advantages that make him the favorite. The Russian reads the game well, adapts to tough opponents, and thrives on hard courts. Considering his experience and stability, there is every reason to believe he will secure another victory over the American.
However, this match is unlikely to be easy. Paul will be highly motivated in front of his home crowd and will likely try to win at least one set. Nevertheless, if Medvedev plays his usual game, he should advance to the quarterfinals.
Bookmakers favor Medvedev. The odds for his victory are 1.38, while Paul’s win is set at 3.30. This suggests that Medvedev’s probability of winning is around 71%. Recommended bets: The most logical choice is a win for Medvedev, but considering the potential challenge, betting on over 21.5 total games or a +4.5 game handicap for Paul could also be good options.
We expect an exciting and competitive match where Medvedev’s experience should play a decisive role. Good luck with your bets!
In this match, bookmakers have set the odds at 3.30 for Paul and 1.38 for Medvedev, with the total over 21.5 games offered at 1.95 and under 21.5 games at 1.85. While Paul has home support and solid baseline play, Medvedev’s superior defensive skills and tactical intelligence make him the clear favorite. The Russian’s ability to neutralize Paul’s aggression and dominate long rallies should lead to a controlled victory.
Our prediction: Medvedev to win in straight sets at odds of 1.85.
