ATP ranking: 32nd
Strengths: Shapovalov has a powerful serve, strong groundstrokes, and aggressive play. He has been in excellent form lately, winning two titles in 2025, in Belgrade and Dallas. This player is confident and at the peak of his form.
Achievements: Titles in Belgrade and Dallas, 8 wins in February 2025.
ATP ranking: 48th
Strengths: Fokina is strong on clay courts and in long rallies, but his performances on hard courts haven’t always been consistently successful. He has good physical conditioning and can withstand heavy match loads, but sometimes loses concentration at crucial moments.
Achievements: Has won smaller tournament titles but hasn’t claimed any major titles; his inconsistencies in key moments have been his downfall.
Denis Shapovalov is in excellent form and shows consistency in hard court matches. His powerful serve and groundstrokes could be decisive in the semifinal. While Fokina can hold his ground in long rallies, his occasional lack of concentration in key moments and less experience in major tournaments make him less dangerous compared to Shapovalov.
Likely winner: Denis Shapovalov. The odds for his victory are 1.57 on William Hill, while Fokina’s victory odds are 2.46 on Megapari. In this case, the Canadian has a better chance due to his stability and form.
Prediction for total: A bet on Fokina’s total under 11.5 is an interesting option, with odds of 1.8.
Denis Shapovalov is the clear favorite in this matchup. The Canadian player has been in excellent form on hard courts, with his powerful serve and aggressive game giving him an edge over most opponents. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, while a strong competitor, may struggle to maintain consistency against Shapovalov’s high-paced play. Given Shapovalov’s current momentum and skill set, we expect him to secure a confident win.
Our prediction is Shapovalov to win 6-4, 6-3 at odds of 1.57.
