Current Form. Macháč reached the final in Acapulco after defeating Brandon Nakashima (6-4, 1-6, 6-4). In the match against the American, Tomáš fired four aces, converted three break points, and dropped his serve three times. Earlier in the tournament, the Czech player secured victories over Learner Tien, Daniel Altmaier, and Jakub Menšík.
Professional Strengths. For the third consecutive year, Macháč has maintained a spot in the top 100 of the world rankings, thanks to his versatile playing style. He performs well on different surfaces but is particularly effective on fast courts. His key strengths include a powerful two-handed backhand and a consistent first serve. Additionally, his high-spin forehand often gives him an edge in rallies.
Current Form. Davidovich Fokina edged out Denis Shapovalov in the Acapulco semifinals, winning both sets in tiebreaks. Against the Canadian, Alejandro didn’t hit a single ace but converted four break points and dropped his serve four times. Earlier in the tournament, the Spaniard defeated Rodrigo Pacheco Méndez, Frances Tiafoe, and Mattia Bellucci.
Professional Strengths. Davidovich Fokina’s greatest asset is his exceptional court movement. His physical endurance allows him to handle long rallies and respond effectively to his opponents’ attacks. He has shown impressive form this season, securing 13 wins against five losses. If he continues on this trajectory, Alejandro could soon break into the top 20 of the world rankings.
Macháč is currently ranked 25th in the world. Over his career, he has claimed ten titles, though none at the ATP level yet. His most recent title came in 2023 in Mouilleron-le-Captif. Davidovich Fokina is currently ranked 48th in the world. Over his career, he has won three titles, with his most recent triumph coming in 2019 at the Liuzhou Challenger.
Bookmakers give odds of 1.62 for Makhach, 2.30 for Davidovich-Fokina, total over 22.5 games is offered for 2.00, total under is offered for 1.80
Tomáš Macháč might seem like the favorite in this matchup, but his game still lacks consistency. At any moment, his level can drop, making him vulnerable. We believe Davidovich Fokina will put up a strong fight and, at the very least, take a set off the Czech player.
Our prediction: Davidovich Fokina to win with a +2 game handicap at odds of 1.89.
