Werder Bremen vs Mainz: Prediction for the Bundesliga match

First team logo
2025-01-31 20:30
Bundesliga Germany
2025-01-31 20:30:00
Bundesliga Germany
Second team logo
Mainz has found the net in 7 of their last 8 visits to Bremen, showing they can be dangerous away from home. However, defensive struggles remain a concern, as they've conceded in 9 of their last 12 away matches. Meanwhile, Werder Bremen took the upper hand in their first encounter this season, securing a 2-1 victory on the road.

Werder Bremen  

Werder Bremen continues to struggle with consistency in the Bundesliga. In their last match, Ole Werner’s side managed to fight back from a two-goal deficit against Borussia Dortmund (2-2), but this result extended their winless streak to four games (2 draws, 2 losses). Defensive problems remain a major issue, as Werder has conceded at least twice in each of those matches. Currently, they sit in 9th place, four points behind the European qualification spots.

At Weserstadion, Werder has managed to avoid defeat in five of their last six games (2 wins, 3 draws). However, their defensive frailties are evident, with 11 goals conceded in their last four home matches. Even teams with modest attacking records, such as Heidenheim and Augsburg, have found ways to score against them.

Mainz

Mainz, on the other hand, is in excellent form. In their previous match, Bo Henriksen’s squad secured a solid 2-0 victory over Stuttgart, extending their home winning streak to five games. Since the start of the season, Mainz has recorded nine wins (4 draws, 6 losses) and has kept six clean sheets. With just 21 goals conceded, they rank among the Bundesliga’s top three defenses. As a result, they currently occupy 6th place in the standings.

The team plays with a clear all-or-nothing mentality—over the last 10 league matches, Mainz has either won (7 times) or lost (3 times), with no draws. Even in the absence of their top scorer for two matches, they still managed to score three goals. However, Jonathan Burkardt is expected to return for this clash, further strengthening their attack. Mainz has also been effective on the road, netting 10 goals in their last five away Bundesliga fixtures.

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Prediction

Bookmakers slightly favor the home side, pricing a Werder win at 2.51. But given the attacking potential of both teams and their recent head-to-head history, we expect an open game with plenty of chances. Our recommended bet is "Total Over 2.5" at odds of 1.85.

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