Sweden vs Azerbaijan: prediction for the UEFA Nations League match

2024-11-19 20:45
UEFA Nations League

2024-11-19 20:45:00
UEFA Nations League

There have been 5 previous encounters between Sweden and Azerbaijan. The record is dominated by Sweden with 4 victories, while Azerbaijan has won only once. The sole success for Azerbaijan came in November 2023, when they defeated Sweden 3-0 in the 9th round of the Euro 2024 qualifiers.

Sweden

Sweden has remained unbeaten in the current UEFA Nations League campaign, securing four victories and one draw. As a result, they are at the top of their group with 13 points, already guaranteed promotion to League B. In these five matches, Sweden scored 13 goals and conceded only four. Notably, in every match of the Nations League so far, the Swedes have scored at least two goals.

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan, on the other hand, has lost its motivation, as they are assured of finishing last in the group. They have not won a single match, with a particularly painful 1-3 defeat to Estonia. Estonia was their direct competitor in the battle to maintain their place in the division, but the loss and a subsequent draw have effectively ended Azerbaijan’s hopes. They are currently in last place in their group and third from the bottom in the fourth-place rankings across all groups. If the situation does not change, Azerbaijan will face automatic relegation from the division.

Prediction

Azerbaijan needs a victory to keep their theoretical chances of staying in the division alive, but it is a very difficult task. Sweden looks stronger, playing at home, and has a better squad overall. In five matches, Sweden has scored 13 goals, while Azerbaijan has conceded the same number. My bet is on Sweden to score more than 2.5 goals with odds of 1.83.

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