Italy vs England: who will obtain the trophy?

Italy vs England: who will obtain the trophy?

Italy

16/01/20 at 19:30
UEFA. Euro 2020

Odds: 2.04

16/01/20 at 19:30
UEFA. Euro 2020

Odds: 2.04

England

Italy have scored first-half goals against England in three of their last four matches. England have scored in three of their last four first-half goals.

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Italy

The Italian national team missed the 2018 World Cup and had enough time to change generations and build a new team, which Roberto Mancini successfully coped with. Squadra Azzurra approached Euro 2020 with a series of 27 matches without defeat. Such statistics and the team's play did not allow the Italians not to be included in the number of the main contenders for the title.

In the group Italy fully justified this status. Two victories with the same 3:0 score over Turkey and Switzerland were quite enough to reach the playoffs from the first place. However, Italy in the last match of the group also beat Wales 1:0, thereby setting a record for the European Championships. No one had previously managed to get three victories in the group without conceding a single goal.

However, already in the first match of the playoffs the Italians almost flew out. In 90 minutes they did not manage to score against Austria. But the opponent spent his goal in the middle of the second half, almost shocking the tiffosi army, but managed to get off with a slight fright at the end. Because of the offside position, Anthony Taylor canceled this ball. In extra time, the class took its toll and Italy won 2:1, conceding for the first time at Euro 2020.

In the quarterfinals Italy literally crushed Belgium in the first half. By the 44th minute Squadra Azzurra was leading in two goals, scoring one more in violation of the rules. All the Belgians were able to do was to win back one goal from a dubious penalty. A big loss for Italy was the injury of Leonardo Spinazzola in this meeting. For him the tournament was over.

The Italians tried to beat the Spanish national team in the semifinals in regulation time. Federico Chiesa scored his next goal at the start of the second half and brought the team forward. Italy had several chances, but did not close the game, which was followed by retribution in the form of a goal by Alvaro Morata. It was he who, in the end, was destined to turn from a hero of the meeting into an antihero. A penalty he had not earned in the post-match series guaranteed Italy a ticket to the final.

England

The England national team was also considered one of the favorites of the tournament before the start of Euro 2020, but already in the first match of the group there were many questions to Gareth Southgate. Many fans of the “Three Lions” did not like the boring and too pragmatic game of the team in the duel with Croatia, but if in that match the 1:0 victory compensated for the discontent, the goalless draw with Scotland again raised a wave of criticism.

A 1:0 victory over the Czech Republic in the last round allowed England to win the group and get into the rivals the German national team, which had problems in the "death group". The Germans gained only one victory. In a difficult match the England national team found an opportunity to score, but at the same time Germany, already losing in the long run, frankly forgave the English several times. The point in this match was put by Harry Kane. A 2:0 victory opened the doors to the “Three Lions” in the quarterfinals.

The duel with Ukraine turned into an easy walk for the British. The opponent, tired and bled with several important losses, was not ready to give a serious fight. In the first half England limited themselves to one goal, but in the second half they scored three more, gaining a confident and dry victory without spending a lot of effort.

The Danes in the semifinals interrupted England's dry streak in the tournament in the first half, having implemented the standard. The British did not find it difficult to recoup, but after that the rival closed even more and managed to transfer the match into extra times. It was there that the main drama happened. For a foul on Raheem Sterling, Danny McKeley put a very controversial penalty.

Harry Kane did not beat Kasper Schmeichel from 11 meters at once, but he was the first to finish. Denmark, which was in the minority by that time (substitute Mathias Jensen was injured and could not continue the match) could no longer give an answer and lost to the English a ticket to the final.So, what is the prediction for a football match?

Prediction

The Italian national team overcame a very difficult path to the final, knocking out such rivals as Belgium and Spain from the tournament. It should be easier to play with the British squadra azzurra. The game model of the English team is similar to the Spanish one and is based on the same principles, but the Italians have already got acquainted with a better and modified model and are able to find counter-arguments for such a game.

This is confirmed by the numbers. Spain at Euro 2020 was the best in the number of goals (13), in possession (66.8% on average), in passing accuracy (89.3% on average), in the number of strokes (111 in total), in regaining possession ( 267 in total). The Italians skillfully coped with such a machine and could well have won a victory even in regular time, this experience will be invaluable today and, in our opinion, will help Italy to get the trophy.

We believe that the Italians will win the tournament. Prediction is for the passage of Italy. In bookmaker 1xBet such an outcome is offered with odds of 2.04.

The Italian national team, however, like the England national team, has a very solid defense. The finalists conceded four goals in the tournament for two. A mistake in the final is very expensive and it is unlikely that opponents will rush to the attack outright, exposing the rear, but at the same time, the probability of a zero draw is not too high. As recent matches have shown, the teams have excellent implementation and turn standards into their weapons. Goal exchange in such a match is very likely.

Our second bet is for both to score. Such a bet can be placed for 2.15.

For fans of large odds, we offer a bet for the victory of Italy by one goal. Such an outcome in the line can be found with odds of 4.60.

Place a bet on the line of 1xBet with odds of 2.04.

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