France vs Israel: prediction for the UEFA Nations League match

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2024-11-14 20:45
UEFA Nations League
2024-11-14 20:45:00
UEFA Nations League
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The teams have faced each other nine times, with France winning five of those matches and Israel winning once. The last time they met on French soil was in September 2004, when the “Les Bleus” were unable to defeat Israel.

France 

The French national team had a rough start in the new Nations League campaign. In the first round, Didier Deschamps’ team suffered a surprising 1-4 home loss to Italy. Although “Les Bleus” scored first, Italy equalized before halftime and then added decisive goals in the second half.

In their subsequent matches, France avoided any more dropped points. In the second September match, they defeated Belgium at home 2-0. Then, in mid-October, the “Les Bleus” managed a 4-1 away win over Israel and a 2-1 away victory over Belgium. As a result, after four rounds, France sits in second place in the group, trailing Italy by just one point.

Israel

For Israel, this is their first time reaching the elite division of the Nations League, and they faced tough competition. Their group includes strong teams like Italy and France, while Belgium is also a formidable opponent. Israel lost their first match 1-3 away against Belgium.

In the next three games, Israel was still unable to secure points. Notably, due to current conditions, Israel plays its home games on neutral grounds, which has been a factor. In two “home” matches, Israel lost 1-2 to Italy and 1-4 to France. In their most recent October game, Israel suffered a significant 1-4 loss away to Italy.

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Prediction

Bookmakers give Israel little chance, offering a modest 1.14 odds on a home win for France. However, Israel has shown efficiency in converting scoring opportunities, with an average xG of 0.3 while managing to score in every tournament match. It might be worth taking a risk on “Total Over 3.5” with odds of 2.05.

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