Ajax secured a comfortable 2-0 victory over Union in the first leg, marking a rare clean sheet for the Amsterdam side in their last five Europa League matches. With this advantage, Francesco Farioli’s team can afford to lose by a narrow margin in the return leg and still progress.
However, Ajax’s group stage campaign was far from smooth, suffering three consecutive defeats, two of which were by a two-goal margin. If a similar scenario plays out here, the match could go to extra time. That said, Ajax has traditionally been strong at home, winning six of their last eight Europa League home games.
Union, on the other hand, continues to struggle in the competition. Sebastian Pocognoli’s side followed up a strong four-match run (3 wins, 1 draw) with back-to-back losses. Although they had been consistently finding the net in their previous six games, their recent form puts them in a difficult position.
To stay in the tournament, Union must win by at least two goals, but history isn’t on their side. In their last 16 Europa League matches, they have never won by more than a single goal. Their away record is equally concerning, with just one win in their last seven road games (1 draw, 5 losses).
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