So if top professional sports bettors are winning perhaps 58% of the time, what does this say about pick services selling you their sports picks with the pitch that they are consistently winning 70% to 80% of their bets? It says they are full of crap.
Touts make their money selling picks to sports bettors. If a handicapper - scamdicapper - was consistently hitting those percentages on his bets, he would not need to sell picks. He sure wouldn't be sharing his info because he would be making too much betting the games. This is not to malign all handicappers but you need to very careful buying sports gambling advice.
Want in on a sports betting secret? This one might surprise you. Professional sports bettors almost never have a long term winning percentage above 60%. A winning percentage of 57 to 59% is considered superb in the sports betting world. In fact, to turn a profit at your sportsbook, a bettor needs to win just 52% of his bets. So, do not set your expectations too high. As a successful sports bettor try to use consistent money management, think long term and, of course, try to win more than half your sports bets.
A sports bettor needs to do his research and find factors that have not been fully measured into the odds or the betting line. You cannot bet on emotion or your impression of what happened last season.
The successful sports bettor needs information and analysis. He needs to follow the latest news and sports reports. Carefully review the statistics and recent injury reports. Is the game going to take place outdoors or indoors? If outdoors, what is the weather forecast?
Want a sports betting secret? Look for anomalies based on public opinion. The sportsbook is adjusting the odds so that there is roughly equal action on both sides of the game. If the public is betting on a particular team to win simply because it is a popular, the sportsbook may give the dog better odds than it deserves to even out the betting - and there lies a true sports betting opportunity.
Art Aronson is a tenured bottom-line professional sports handicapper. He is the best ROI handicapper in the business. He is not your typical handicapper.
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