Montpellier vs Lens: Prediction for the Ligue 1 match

First team logo
2025-01-31 20:45
Ligue 1 France
2025-01-31 20:45:00
Ligue 1 France
Second team logo
Historically, Lens has had the upper hand, winning five of the last ten encounters, while Montpellier has only managed two victories. Notably, eight of the last nine meetings between these sides have seen under 3.5 goals, indicating a trend of low-scoring affairs.

Montpellier  

Montpellier has made an impressive resurgence, going from a team seemingly resigned to relegation to one suddenly back in the fight for survival. For most of the season, they languished at the bottom of Ligue 1, showing little sign of revival. However, in just two matches, everything changed—back-to-back 2-1 victories over Monaco and Toulouse propelled them off the foot of the table and up to 19th place. While they still have a long way to go, this sudden turnaround is a huge step forward for a team that had won only twice in the previous 17 rounds.

There’s also some positive news on the injury front, as Montpellier’s squad is slowly returning to full strength. Only defenders Minckarelli, Maksimović, and Julien remain sidelined, though the team will also be without midfielder Jordan Ferri, who is serving a suspension.

Lens

Lens has started to lose momentum—something they can’t afford while chasing a European spot. The team has dropped to seventh place, slipping out of the continental qualification zone after picking up just seven points from their last five matches. Lens is known for its structured and composed style of play, often controlling games with precision. However, when things don’t go according to plan, they tend to struggle with adapting—a weakness that has cost them key points in recent weeks.

The injury list isn’t devastating but still presents some challenges. Lens will be without goalkeeper Petric, defender Chávez, and forwards Labo-Lascari and Satriano. While none of these players are irreplaceable, their absences could still impact squad depth and rotation.

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Prediction

Montpellier is shifting from being one of the league’s biggest underperformers to a team that can challenge even the stronger sides. Their recent resurgence suggests they are not to be written off just yet. Even Lens, sitting in the upper half of the table, could struggle at Stade de la Mosson. A tightly contested match is expected, and a 1-1 draw seems like a likely outcome.

Montpellier's defense remains inconsistent, but they have been reliable in attack at home. Meanwhile, Lens has been far from solid at the back, having kept just one clean sheet in their last six matches. Given these defensive vulnerabilities, the best bet is Both Teams to Score: Yes at odds of 1.62.

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