Samat Mamedov vs Maurice Abevi MMA Fight Prediction

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2025-01-24 23:00
2025-01-24 23:00:00
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On January 24, the ONE 170 tournament will take place in Bangkok (Thailand), where undefeated Kazakh fighter Samat Mamedov will face Switzerland’s Maurice Abevi. The fight will be in the welterweight category, with Samat Mamedov considered the favorite by bookmakers.

Samat Mamedov (Kazakhstan)

The 26-year-old Kazakh fighter, known for his finishing abilities, has won all his fights by knockout or submission, with no defeats so far. It’s worth noting that his official Sherdog record doesn’t account for four additional victories (achieved in Triumph Fights), so his true record should be 10-0, not 6-0. Mamedov will make his ONE debut, though he has already fought five times in Octagon Promotion.

“This fight was delayed, but now I’m in the best shape of my life. I’ve had more time to prepare, and I plan to finish this fight early and make a loud statement. Abevi has an advantage in reach, and I think he’ll try to use it. He’s an all-around fighter with knockout power, and he’s dangerous on the ground. He’s the toughest and most experienced opponent of my career, but I’m ready. My team and I have a long-term plan, and the ONE title is part of it,” said Mamedov.

In his last fight, Samat finished Will Chope, a former UFC fighter who has even faced Max Holloway, early in the second minute of the first round.

Maurice Abevi (Switzerland)

Swiss fighter Maurice Abevi moved to Thailand to improve his skills, training at the legendary Tiger Muay Thai gym. However, experts suggest that he is also quite skilled in jiu-jitsu. Despite his training, Abevi has not reached star status and is unlikely to. In ONE, he has fought three times—losing his first bout but then winning two consecutive fights, one by technical knockout in the first round and the other by unanimous decision. The names of his previous opponents are not well-known, highlighting that Abevi’s level is still developing in the promotion.

Prediction

Up until now, Mamedov has finished all of his opponents in the first round, with only one of them managing to make it to the middle of the round. So why should we rule out the possibility that he might do the same in ONE? It’s very possible, as Maurice Abevi doesn’t pose a major threat to the Kazakh fighter.

In any case, the action in the ring will ignite from the very first second. In the Winline bookmaker, the bet “total under 1.5” is priced at 1.92, while in Olimpbet, the “total under 2.5” bet has a coefficient of 1.72. Choose depending on your risk appetite.

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Prediction

Samat Mamedov will win this fight. His aggressive style and ability to finish fights early make him a clear favorite. Despite Abevi's experience, his options are limited, and Mamedov will surely find a way to dominate.
Expected result - Mamedov's victory in the first round by technical knockout.
Place your bets taking into account the odds of 1.92

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