Real Madrid vs. Mallorca: Prediction and Bet with Odds of 2.95

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2025-01-09 21:00
2025-01-09 21:00:00
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In the final of last year's Spanish Super Cup, Real Madrid delivered a dominant 4-1 victory over Barcelona. Now, the question is: can Mallorca stand strong in the semifinal of this year's tournament on January 9th in Saudi Arabia? Which team has better prepared for this short tournament, and who will make it to the final? Our experts have analyzed the upcoming match and shared their thoughts on what to expect.

Real Madrid (Spain)

Current Form
Real Madrid began 2025 with a 2-1 victory over Valencia in La Liga, despite Vinicius Junior’s red card. Luka Modric stood out, scoring an important goal and becoming the oldest goalscorer in the club’s history. Despite a packed schedule, Carlo Ancelotti’s team has been delivering consistent results, managing to compensate for injuries.

Last season was successful for Real Madrid: they won the Spanish Super Cup, confidently defeating Barcelona 4-1. Now, they are determined to defend the title, even though their squad isn’t in optimal shape due to the absence of key players. The semifinal against Mallorca will be a significant test.

Players unavailable:

David Alaba – Knee injury
Dani Carvajal – Ankle injury
Éder Militão – Cruciate ligament injury
Vinicius Junior – Ligament injury
Ferland Mendy – Muscle injury
Things to consider for betting

Real Madrid has scored at least two goals in their last four home games. Of their last six encounters with Mallorca, Real Madrid has won five, averaging more than two goals per game.
Rodrygo is in great form, having scored in two consecutive matches and contributed to four goals in the last five games against Mallorca.

Projected lineup
Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vázquez, Antonio Rüdiger, Federico Valverde, Fran García – Aurélien Tchouaméni, Luka Modrić, Jude Bellingham – Rodrygo, Kylian Mbappé, Brahim Díaz

Mallorca (Spain)

Current Form
Mallorca is approaching the Spanish Super Cup semifinal in a less than ideal mood after a surprising 3-0 loss to Pontevedra in the Copa del Rey. This disappointment is even more significant following two La Liga victories at the end of 2024.

Despite the setbacks, Javier Aguirre’s side is determined to fight back against the favorite. The club’s history includes a Super Cup victory in 1998 and a final appearance in 2003, where they lost to Real Madrid. However, recent encounters with the Madrid side have been unsuccessful, with just one win in eight meetings.

Players unavailable

Asano – Thigh injury
Larin – Knee injury
Maffeo – Muscle injury
Muriqi – Muscle injury

Things to consider for betting

Mallorca’s second halves in their last six games have been more productive than their first halves.
Abdón Prats is a key attacking player, dangerous both in the air and when taking penalties.
Projected lineup
Dominik Greif – Maffeo, Copete, Antonio Raillo, Pablo Mórer – Pichu, Darder, Samu Costa, Manolo Morlanes, Lee Gómez – Abdón Prats

The bookmakers offer odds of 1.39 for a Real Madrid victory, 4.90 for a draw, and 6.80 for a Barcelona win. The over 2.5 goals total is priced at 1.57, while the under total is available at 2.40.

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Prediction

On January 9, 2025, Real Madrid will face Mallorca in an exciting semifinal of the Spanish Super Cup. Both teams have strong attacking players, so a high-scoring game is very likely. Real Madrid, with their star players, is looking to continue their winning streak after beating Valencia in La Liga. In their recent matches, they’ve been playing aggressively, scoring at least two goals in each of their last three home games.

On the other hand, Mallorca has been effective in attack, especially when playing away. They consistently find ways to score, even though their defense has had some issues. The history of their meetings also suggests a good chance of a high-scoring game, with three or more goals being scored in five of the last eight matchups. With both teams highly motivated for this important semifinal, we can expect a game full of goal-scoring chances.

Prediction: Over 3 goals, with odds of 2.11.

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