Odds2Win Betting Results: Win Rate, ROI and Full Track Record
Prediction Archive
All sports · 2026 · All markets · Results through: 2026-06-11 08:00 · Last sync attempt: 2026-08-23 03:00
Use this archive to review settled picks with price context, hit rate and filters that make the history easier to inspect than a flat win/loss list.
Settled: 964
Won: 482
Lost: 480
Push: 2
Avg odds (priced picks): 1.79
Avg implied probability (priced picks): 56.8%
Archive metrics
Profitability context comes first because strike rate alone is not enough to judge prediction history.
Hit rate
50.1%
Wins divided by wins + losses.Net units
-92.71u
1-unit flat stake on priced graded picks.ROI
-14.3%
Net units divided by priced graded picks.Priced picks
647
Rows with stored publication odds and a graded verdict.Filters
Filter by sport, league, market, price, verdict and selection side.
Archive list
964 matching settled picks. Page 28 of 39.
| Match | Selection | Price | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers 2026-02-28 02:00 · NBA · NBA | 1X2 · Cleveland Cavaliers to Win Away | 1.55 | 122–119 Lost -1.00u · ROI -100.0% |
| Aston Villa vs Wolves 2026-02-27 12:00 · Football · Premier League | 1X2 · Aston Villa to Win Home | — | 1–4 Lost |
| Lens vs Strasbourg 2026-02-27 12:00 · Football · Ligue 1 | 1X2 · Lens to Win Home | — | 1–1 Lost |
| Augsburg vs FC Koln 2026-02-27 12:00 · Football · Bundesliga | 1X2 · Augsburg to Win Home | — | 2–0 Won |
| Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers 2026-02-27 05:30 · NHL · NHL | 1X2 · Edmonton Oilers to Win Away | 1.72 | 1–8 Won +0.72u · ROI +72.0% |
| Los Angeles Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves 2026-02-27 05:00 · NBA · NBA | 1X2 · Los Angeles Clippers to Win Home | 1.78 | 88–94 Lost -1.00u · ROI -100.0% |
| Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild 2026-02-27 04:00 · NHL · NHL | 1X2 · Colorado Avalanche to Win Home | 1.72 | 2–5 Lost -1.00u · ROI -100.0% |
| Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans 2026-02-27 04:00 · NBA · NBA | 1X2 · New Orleans Pelicans to Win Away | 1.55 | 118–129 Won +0.55u · ROI +55.0% |
| Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks 2026-02-27 03:30 · NBA · NBA | 1X2 · Dallas Mavericks to Win Away | 1.80 | 130–121 Lost -1.00u · ROI -100.0% |
| Nashville Predators vs Chicago Blackhawks 2026-02-27 03:00 · NHL · NHL | 1X2 · Nashville Predators to Win Home | 1.35 | 4–2 Won +0.35u · ROI +35.0% |
| New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers 2026-02-27 03:00 · NHL · NHL | 1X2 · New York Rangers to Win Home | 1.72 | 2–3 Lost -1.00u · ROI -100.0% |
| St. Louis Blues vs Seattle Kraken 2026-02-27 03:00 · NHL · NHL | 1X2 · Seattle Kraken to Win Away | 1.79 | 5–1 Lost -1.00u · ROI -100.0% |
| Chicago Bulls vs Portland Trail Blazers 2026-02-27 03:00 · NBA · NBA | 1X2 · Chicago Bulls to Win Home | 1.72 | 112–121 Lost -1.00u · ROI -100.0% |
| Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards 2026-02-27 02:30 · NBA · NBA | 1X2 · Atlanta Hawks to Win Estimated price: 1.16 Likely score Washington Wizards 108–125 Atlanta Hawks Confidence High mismatch baseline • depth • injury edge Implied win probability (from odds) Model win probability (Hawks) Fair odds (from model) Edge vs market Value verdict Note: 1.16 is a fair-line estimate derived from the matchup win probability, not a guaranteed bookmaker price. Match context Quick frame Core matchup: Atlanta’s route is controlling the middle of the floor and turning stops into early offense; Washington’s route is pure variance—hot shooting, chaos pace, and a close fourth. What matters most: turnover-to-transition points, defensive rebounding (to end possessions), and whether Washington can keep Atlanta out of the free-throw lane. Where underdogs survive: one elite three-point quarter plus a tight whistle pattern can compress a large talent gap into a one-possession finish. How favourites fail: sloppy ball security, early foul trouble, and allowing repeated corner threes that trigger a “game-state flip” run. Team profile snapshot Matchup predictor: WSH 14.0% • ATL 86.0% Season leaders (listed): WSH A. Sarr 17.2 PPG • ATL J. Johnson 23.3 PPG Reb/AST leaders (listed): WSH A. Sarr 7.8 RPG • ATL J. Johnson 10.6 RPG & 8.2 APG What can swing the game Availability news: Washington have key frontcourt availability uncertainty; that can magnify Atlanta’s paint advantage and second-chance control. Three-point swing: Washington’s upset path is a big +made-threes gap that forces Atlanta to chase the game and take rushed shots. Run management: if Atlanta respond to Wizards runs with calm half-court possessions, the favourite script stays intact. Live marker (first 10–15 minutes) Hawks ML looks safer if Atlanta are winning the rebound battle and getting paint touches without giving up runouts. Variance spikes if Washington are getting wide-open threes and Atlanta commit multiple live-ball turnovers early. Atlanta Hawks Atlanta come into this matchup as a heavy favorite because their baseline routes to points are simply more repeatable across four quarters: they can score in transition after stops, and they can create half-court advantages without needing a perfect shooting night. The key for the Hawks is discipline—when favorites lose these games, it’s usually through sloppy turnovers that hand the underdog the easiest points in basketball. Atlanta’s ideal script is to keep Washington out of the free-throw lane, finish defensive possessions with rebounds, and then apply steady pressure until the scoreboard gap becomes structural. In this specific matchup, the “mismatch amplifier” is the injury situation, where Washington’s frontcourt depth is under pressure, raising the chance of Atlanta winning the paint and the glass. The only real way this becomes uncomfortable is if Atlanta settle for early contested threes and allow Washington to stay attached into the fourth quarter. If Atlanta play a professional game—careful possessions, clean closeouts, and controlled tempo—the moneyline should be the correct side. Injury report (listed) Jonathan Kuminga: GTD (knee) — est. return 19 Feb Washington Wizards Washington’s job is to increase variance as much as possible, because low-variance basketball favors the stronger team almost every time. The Wizards’ best chance is to push pace, shoot threes early in the clock, and hunt transition mismatches before Atlanta can set its defense. They also need to protect the ball—turnovers are the fastest way to turn a competitive game into a 15-point deficit by halftime. The complicating factor is availability: when a team loses key frontcourt options, it becomes harder to defend without fouling and harder to finish possessions with rebounds. That often leads to a quiet but decisive edge for the favorite: extra shots, extra free throws, and fewer “live” possessions for the underdog. Washington can still make this uncomfortable if they hit a high volume of threes and force Atlanta into late-clock decisions. But if the game becomes a half-court grind, the Wizards will struggle to keep up over four quarters. Injury report (listed) Alex Sarr: Out (hamstring) — est. return 28 Feb Tristan Vukcevic: GTD (illness) — est. return 19 Feb D’Angelo Russell: Out (not injury related) — est. return 28 Feb Anthony Davis: OFS (finger) — est. return 1 Oct Cam Whitmore: OFS (shoulder) — est. return 1 Oct Why Atlanta Hawks are the pick Three reasons (basketball logic) Mismatch baseline: the win probability gap suggests Atlanta can win even with an average shooting night if they control turnovers and rebounds. Game control: favorites cover moneylines here by limiting “free points” (runouts and second chances), which Atlanta can do with clean possessions. Injury leverage: Washington’s frontcourt availability pressure increases Atlanta’s path to paint scoring and defensive rebounding control. What would change the read Early foul trouble: if Atlanta’s primary rim protection picks up quick fouls, Washington’s driving game gets a lifeline. 3PT heater: if Washington open with a high-volume, high-percentage three-point start, the moneyline becomes less attractive and live handicaps may be better. Recommended bets Main pick plus a practical alternative for short odds. Selection rules Moneyline is fine for parlays, but the price can be too short for single bets. Spread is often the better “single bet” option when you expect the favourite to separate via depth and pace control. Total should be used only once a clear tempo read is confirmed (transition game = over risk; controlled game = under lean). Market Pick Why it fits + risk MoneylinePrimary Atlanta Hawks to Win Price: 1.16 Risk: Low–Medium Best aligned with the “professional favorite” script: protect the ball, win the glass, and let depth decide. Risk: NBA variance (threes + fouls) can still keep this close longer than expected. HandicapAlternative Hawks -X.X (only if the number is reasonable) Often a stronger single-bet profile than short ML, especially if you expect a second-half pull-away. Captures the depth advantage if Washington’s offense stalls in extended half-court stretches. Risk: “backdoor” cover in the last 2 minutes if garbage-time threes land. TotalLean Total Points (TBA) — lean to Over if pace is high If early minutes show fast possessions and quick threes, overs become more viable than unders. Works if both teams trade transition buckets and the whistle adds free throws. Risk: if Atlanta build a blowout lead, pace can die and hurt overs. Final verdict Verdict logic Main call: Atlanta Hawks ML at 1.16 (estimated fair line). Main risk: three-point variance keeping Washington alive longer than the talent gap suggests. Best practical angle: consider Hawks spread for a better single-bet profile if ML is too short. Predicted result: Hawks win Home | 1.16 | 126–96 Won +0.16u · ROI +16.0% |
| Brooklyn Nets vs San Antonio Spurs 2026-02-27 02:30 · NBA · NBA | 1X2 · San Antonio Spurs to Win Away | 1.30 | 110–126 Won +0.30u · ROI +30.0% |
| Orlando Magic vs Houston Rockets 2026-02-27 02:30 · NBA · NBA | 1X2 · Orlando Magic to Win Home | 1.65 | 108–113 Lost -1.00u · ROI -100.0% |
| Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets 2026-02-27 02:00 · NHL · NHL | 1X2 · Boston Bruins to Win Home | 1.72 | 4–2 Won +0.72u · ROI +72.0% |
| Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning 2026-02-27 02:00 · NHL · NHL | 1X2 · Carolina Hurricanes to Win Home | 1.72 | 5–4 Won +0.72u · ROI +72.0% |
| Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs 2026-02-27 02:00 · NHL · NHL | 1X2 · Florida Panthers to Win Home | 1.75 | 5–1 Won +0.75u · ROI +75.0% |
| Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings 2026-02-27 02:00 · NHL · NHL | 1X2 · Ottawa Senators to Win Home | 1.92 | 1–2 Lost -1.00u · ROI -100.0% |
| Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets 2026-02-27 02:00 · NBA · NBA | 1X2 · Charlotte Hornets to Win Away | 1.68 | 109–133 Won +0.68u · ROI +68.0% |
| Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat 2026-02-27 02:00 · NBA · NBA | 1X2 · Philadelphia 76ers to Win Estimated price: 1.87 Likely score Miami Heat 108–112 Philadelphia 76ers Confidence Medium injury volatility • 3PT variance • late fouls Implied win probability (from odds) Model win probability (76ers) Fair odds (from model) Edge vs market Value verdict Note: this price is a fair-line estimate derived from the win probability shown on the matchup predictor, not a guaranteed sportsbook number. Match context Quick frame Core matchup: Miami bring pace and scoring punch; Philadelphia lean on home control and the ability to manufacture points late in possessions. What matters most: turnover-to-transition points, defensive rebounding (to end possessions), and whether either team can win the free-throw battle. Where underdogs survive: one hot three-point quarter plus a tight final five minutes can compress any gap into a coin-flip. How favourites fail: stagnation into contested jumpers, early foul trouble on key defenders, or allowing repeated runouts after live-ball turnovers. Team profile snapshot Standings: MIA 29–27 (Away 13–16) • PHI 30–24 (Home 15–14) Matchup predictor: MIA 46.5% • PHI 53.5% Points / Against: MIA 119.6 / 117.2 • PHI 116.2 / 115.9 Last five games (form check) Miami: W @NO 123–111 • L vs UTA 111–115 • W @WSH 132–101 • L @BOS 96–98 • L vs ATL 115–127 Philadelphia: L vs NYK 89–138 • L @POR 118–135 • W @PHX 103–109 • L @LAL 115–119 • W @GSW 94–113 What can swing the game Availability news: multiple key names are listed as GTD/out; one late upgrade/downgrade can change the true line more than any tactical angle. Three-point swing: Miami’s fastest route to an upset is a +10 to +15 gap in made threes across four quarters. Late-game fouls: free throws can flip both sides and totals late, especially if the margin stays within one possession. Philadelphia 76ers Philadelphia’s moneyline case starts with a simple home-court logic: they have been the steadier home team in the standings snapshot, and the matchup predictor gives them a narrow but meaningful edge. The most reliable win route is controlling defensive possessions—finish stops with rebounds, then avoid feeding Miami runouts with live-ball mistakes. In half-court basketball, the 76ers can win by generating paint touches and forcing rotations that create open kick-outs, rather than settling into early-clock contested jumpers. If the game stays close late, Philadelphia’s path becomes even clearer: value every possession, get to the line, and make Miami score over set defense. The caution is that Miami’s scoring profile can blow up quickly if Philadelphia lose the perimeter matchup for even one quarter. That’s why this pick is a “medium confidence” call: the underlying edge exists, but the injury list adds variance. Injury report (listed) Quentin Grimes: GTD (illness) Joel Embiid: GTD (knee) Paul George: Out (suspension) Miami Heat Miami’s upside in this matchup is obvious: they score at a high rate in the team-stats snapshot and can win games by turning pace into high-value shots—transition threes, rim pressure, and quick-hitting actions before the defense is set. The most dangerous version of Miami is the one that forces Philadelphia into scramble mode, because scramble possessions tend to create the cleanest looks from deep. If the Heat can win the turnover battle and make Philadelphia chase in space, the game can drift toward Miami’s preferred rhythm where each run has real knockout potential. The drawback is that road games often come down to execution and foul management in the final minutes, and that is where home teams usually get the cleaner whistle and the calmer possessions. Miami also carry availability questions in the listed injury panel, which can impact ball-handling depth and shot creation. Overall, Miami are live—especially if the 76ers’ key questionable tags swing negative—but the base script still leans Philadelphia at home. Injury report (listed) Andrew Wiggins: GTD (toe) Pelle Larsson: GTD (forearm) Tyler Herro: GTD (ribs) Terry Rozier: Out (not injury related) Why Philadelphia 76ers are the pick Three reasons (basketball logic) Home execution edge: in a narrow matchup, the home team’s late-game shot quality and free-throw control often decide the moneyline. Defense profile: Philadelphia’s points-against snapshot is slightly better, which matters if the game becomes possession-by-possession late. Predictor alignment: a 53.5% win projection maps cleanly to a fair line around 1.87, supporting a small favourite lean. What would change the read Key questionable tags: if Philadelphia’s availability swings negative while Miami’s upgrades, the true line can flip. Perimeter collapse: if Miami generate repeated clean corner threes early, the moneyline becomes much more fragile for the favourite. Recommended bets Main pick plus a safer alternative and a totals lean (line-dependent). Selection rules Moneyline is best when you trust the home team to close and win the final 6–8 minutes. Pick’em / small handicap is the basketball “safer” alternative if you expect a one-possession finish. Total is best only after you confirm tempo: transition-heavy games usually push overs; half-court grind pushes unders. Market Pick Why it fits + risk MoneylinePrimary Philadelphia 76ers to Win Price: 1.87 Risk: Medium Fits a close home-favourite script where execution, rebounds, and free throws decide the final margin. Risk: 3PT variance + injury volatility can overturn the base edge quickly. HandicapCoverage 76ers +0.0 (Pick’em) Protects against a late-game one-shot swing while keeping the home-side angle. Better when you expect a one-possession finish and want lower exposure than a pure ML. Risk: lower payout; you “pay” for protection if Philly win comfortably. TotalLean Total Points (TBA) — lean to Under if pace is controlled If early minutes show few runouts and more half-court possessions, under becomes more logical. Works if both teams are forced into late-clock possessions and the game stays physical. Risk: overtime and late fouling can break totals even after three quiet quarters. Final verdict Verdict logic Main call: Philadelphia 76ers ML at an estimated fair price of 1.87. Key risk: Miami’s three-point runs plus availability swings near tip-off. Score lean: a low-margin home win where the last two minutes decide it. Predicted result: 76ers win Home | 1.87 | 124–117 Won +0.87u · ROI +87.0% |
| Crvena zvezda vs Lille 2026-02-26 12:00 · Football · UEFA Europa League · Playoffs | 1X2 · Lille to Win Away | — | 0–2 Won |
| Ferencvaros vs Ludogorets 2026-02-26 12:00 · Football · UEFA Europa League · Playoffs | 1X2 · Ferencvaros to Win Home | — | 2–0 Won |
| Plzen vs Panathinaikos 2026-02-26 12:00 · Football · UEFA Europa League · Playoffs | 1X2 · Plzen to Win Home | — | 1–1 Lost |
Quick breakdown
Market-level results show how hit rate, average price and ROI differ across the settled archive.
1X2
Settled: 955
Hit rate: 49.9%
Avg odds: 1.79
ROI: -14.5%
Totals
Settled: 7
Hit rate: 57.1%
Avg odds: 1.62
ROI: -38.4%
BTTS
Settled: 2
Hit rate: 100.0%
Avg odds: 1.89
ROI: +89.0%
Performance reports
Settled performance grouped by the dimensions that contain usable data. ROI and net units use priced picks only.
By sport
| Group | Picks | Hit rate | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Football | 578 settled 304 priced | 49.8% | -47.80u ROI -15.7% |
| NBA | 234 settled 210 priced | 51.3% | -31.84u ROI -15.2% |
| NHL | 152 settled 133 priced | 49.3% | -13.07u ROI -9.8% |
By market
| Group | Picks | Hit rate | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 955 settled 640 priced | 49.9% | -92.57u ROI -14.5% |
| Totals | 7 settled 5 priced | 57.1% | -1.92u ROI -38.4% |
| BTTS | 2 settled 2 priced | 100.0% | +1.78u ROI +89.0% |
By month
| Group | Picks | Hit rate | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 5 settled 5 priced | 60.0% | +0.09u ROI +1.8% |
| 2026-05 | 224 settled 224 priced | 47.3% | -35.89u ROI -16.0% |
| 2026-04 | 190 settled 186 priced | 51.3% | -18.23u ROI -9.8% |
| 2026-03 | 241 settled 146 priced | 49.0% | -22.67u ROI -15.5% |
| 2026-02 | 294 settled 84 priced | 52.2% | -17.48u ROI -20.8% |
| 2026-01 | 10 settled 2 priced | 50.0% | +1.47u ROI +73.5% |
By odds range
| Group | Picks | Hit rate | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01–1.49 | 44 settled 44 priced | 68.2% | -2.48u ROI -5.6% |
| 1.50–1.99 | 474 settled 474 priced | 51.9% | -53.52u ROI -11.3% |
| 2.00–2.99 | 127 settled 127 priced | 33.3% | -34.71u ROI -27.3% |
| 3.00+ | 2 settled 2 priced | 0.0% | -2.00u ROI -100.0% |
| No stored odds | 317 settled 0 priced | 51.9% | N/A ROI N/A |
By publication lead time
| Group | Picks | Hit rate | Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| < 6 hours | 1 settled 1 priced | 0.0% | -1.00u ROI -100.0% |
| 6–24 hours | 3 settled 3 priced | 100.0% | +2.14u ROI +71.3% |
| 1–3 days | 36 settled 35 priced | 47.2% | -6.61u ROI -18.9% |
| 3+ days | 924 settled 608 priced | 50.1% | -87.24u ROI -14.3% |
How to read this archive
Read hit rate, prices and ROI together rather than in isolation.
The archive shows eligible settled picks only. Hit rate uses graded wins and losses; push rows stay in the record but do not change hit rate. Net units and ROI use only rows with stored publication odds, so missing odds are shown as unavailable rather than as zero return. Half wins and half losses are weighted at 0.5. Predictions published after the recorded kickoff and entries with unresolved integrity conflicts are excluded from public performance calculations.