Macháč has been showing solid performance throughout the tournament, displaying remarkable return skills. His ability to break opponents’ serves (6 break points converted out of 14 in his last match) makes him a serious contender for the title. Physically, he has had some struggles in the past, but at the moment, he looks in peak condition. With key competitors like Alexander Zverev and Casper Ruud already eliminated, Macháč has a real chance to reach the final.
Nakashima has had a smooth journey in Acapulco, winning all three of his matches in straight sets. However, his overall form this season has been inconsistent. While his serve is strong, he has struggled with maintaining control under pressure, conceding several breaks. Despite his early career titles in San Diego and the Next Gen Finals, he still lacks the stability needed to break into the top ranks consistently.
This semifinal promises to be a tight battle, as both players are well-adapted to the conditions in Acapulco. Macháč’s return game and resilience under pressure give him an edge, while Nakashima’s aggressive baseline play could also be a decisive factor. However, considering their recent form and overall performance in the tournament, Macháč is the likely winner.
Expect a long and competitive match, but Macháč should prevail in the end.
Tomáš Macháč is the slight favorite in this matchup. The Czech player has been in excellent form, particularly with his strong return game and ability to break opponents’ serves. Brandon Nakashima, while having a solid start to the tournament, has shown inconsistency throughout the season and may struggle with Macháč's pressure. With his strong all-around game, we expect Macháč to secure a hard-fought win.
Our prediction is Macháč to win with a -2.5 handicap at odds of 1.61.
