Giron is a player who knows how to surprise. While he doesn’t possess a powerful serve or an aggressive attacking style, he compensates with endurance, patience, and the ability to construct points strategically.
Strengths: solid baseline play, excellent physical conditioning and ability to maintain a high pace, mental toughness and tactical adaptability.
Giron has already put in some strong performances this season. In Adelaide and Delray Beach, he reached the quarterfinals, only losing to top-tier opponents like Felix Auger-Aliassime and Miomir Kecmanovic. In the first round of Acapulco, he convincingly defeated Australian Adam Walton (7-6, 6-2), relying on a strong serve (12 aces and only 7 points lost on his first serve).
Paul is one of the most consistent American players on tour. In 2025, he broke into the ATP top 10 for the first time, proving his high level of play. Unlike Giron, Tommy prefers an aggressive style, quickly shifting to attack and forcing his opponents to make mistakes.
Strengths: powerful forehand and sharp cross-court shots, reliable serve, allowing him to win points effortlessly, quick reflexes and excellent game rhythm.
Paul’s season has been going well, though not without setbacks. He reached the semifinals in Dallas but suffered an unexpected defeat against Denis Shapovalov. However, in the first round of Acapulco, Tommy showed dominance, easily defeating Gabriel Diallo (6-2, 6-2).
The history between these players suggests a fierce battle. They have met six times before, with each winning three matches. However, it’s crucial to consider that Tommy Paul is currently at the peak of his career, while Marcos Giron, despite his consistency, is slightly behind in terms of overall level.
Giron will likely focus on a defensive game, attempting to force Paul into errors. Meanwhile, Tommy will try to control the match from the start, setting a fast pace. If Giron manages to endure the pressure and extend rallies, the match could be a long one. But if Paul finds his rhythm early, he could close it out in straight sets.
Tommy Paul is the clear favorite in this matchup. He is ranked higher, in great form, and has previously defeated Giron on fast surfaces. However, Marcos is a tricky opponent who won’t go down without a fight.
Prediction: Tommy Paul to win (P2). Alternative bet: Marcos Giron +3.5 games handicap – he can keep it competitive. Odds for Paul’s win: 1.38 (megapari).
Tommy Paul is the favorite in this matchup, and we believe he will secure the win. Despite Giron’s solid form, Paul`s aggressive style and top-10 ranking give him the edge. Marcos may make it competitive, but Paul`s power and consistency should lead him to a straight-set victory.
Our prediction is Tommy Paul to win 2-0 at odds of 1.38.
