Real Madrid vs Atalanta: prediction for the UEFA Super Cup match

2024-08-14 21:00

UEFA Super Cup

odds 1.85

Atalanta will play in the UEFA Super Cup match for the first time in their history. In the 2020/21 season, Atalanta and Real Madrid faced each other in the Champions League Round of 16. At that time, Real Madrid won 1-0 away and 3-1 at home. Real Madrid has won the UEFA Super Cup five times in their history.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid had an incredible season last year. Despite lacking a nominal main center forward, Carlo Ancelotti’s team managed to win not only La Liga but also triumphed in the Champions League and the Spanish Super Cup. In the decisive Champions League match, “Los Blancos” defeated Borussia Dortmund 2-0 with goals from Dani Carvajal and Vinicius Junior in the second half.

This summer, Real Madrid went on a tour of the USA, where they lost El Clasico to Barcelona 1-2 and were defeated by AC Milan 0-1. In the final match of the tour, the Spanish champions beat Chelsea 2-1.

The match against Atalanta will mark the debut for Real’s star newcomer Kylian Mbappe, who did not play for his new club in the friendly matches. The young Brazilian Endrick may also make his debut.

Atalanta

Atalanta won a European cup for the first time in its history. Gian Piero Gasperini’s team surprisingly defeated Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 in the Europa League final. The Nigerian forward from the Bergamo club, Ademola Lookman, scored a hat-trick. In Serie A, Atalanta managed to finish fourth despite not having the best start to the season. These results allowed Atalanta to qualify for the Champions League once again.

Over the summer, Atalanta lost one of its most important players. Due to a cruciate ligament tear, the team’s top scorer, Gianluca Scamacca, will miss almost the entire season. To replace him, Atalanta quickly signed Italy national team forward Mateo Retegui from Genoa.

In summer friendlies, Atalanta looked unconvincing. Gian Piero Gasperini’s team suffered heavy defeats to St. Pauli (0-3) and Parma (1-4), and also drew with AZ Alkmaar (2-2).

Prediction

Our expert pick: It's clear that Real Madrid is the overwhelming favorite in this match. The "royal club" has far more experience at this level, including successful experience. In terms of player selection, there's no point in drawing parallels; Real Madrid has a huge advantage in this aspect. Additionally, Atalanta is weakened by the loss of several key players. The favorite should be able to secure a convincing victory and potentially become a leader in the number of UEFA Super Cup titles won.

We believe the favorite will win easily. Prediction: Asian handicap (-1) on Real Madrid. This outcome is offered at odds of 1.85.

Real Madrid will undoubtedly play as the dominant team, and Atalanta's defense might face problems as early as the first half, given its lack of stability and cohesion, as demonstrated in recent friendly matches. Despite the personnel losses and the difference in class, Atalanta is capable of putting up a fight. The main architect of the team's success is not Gianluca Scamacca or even Teun Koopmeiners, but Gian Piero Gasperini. The experienced coach can find solutions in such a difficult situation and inspire his team, which should at least manage a consolation goal.

Bet: both teams to score. This outcome is offered at odds of 1.79.

Place a bet on the line of 1xBet with odds of 1.85.

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