Schwentek vs Kenin: who will win Roland Garros for the first time in his career? Prediction |

Iga Schwentek

10/10/2020, at 13:00 GMT
Roland Garros

Odds: 1.6

Sofia Kenin

Kenin has four WTA titles and a 2020 Australian Open trophy. Schwentek has no WTA titles at the senior level. Schwentek won all her matches on the way to the final with a score of 2-0 in sets. Sofia Kenin at Roland Garros won only two fights after 2-0 in sets.

Iga Schwentek

The talented Polish tennis player Iga Schwentek made a loud statement at the junior level by winning Wimbledon in 2018. In the same season, Iga won the doubles tournament at Roland Garros. Gradually, the 19-year-old tennis player shows herself at the adult level, justifying numerous expectations and forecasts. Considering that Iga is a fan of Nadal, it is clearly no coincidence that her first final on the Helmet fell on Roland Garros.

Even at the start of the season, Iga Schwentek reached the 1/8 finals at Australian Open. Then it was not possible to overcome the resistance of Anette Kontaveit (7-6, 5-7, 5-7). The current Roland Garros was a real breakthrough in Iga's career. Already at the start of the tournament, Schwentek had last year's finalist Roland Garros, Market Vondrousova, as rivals. Iga was not at all embarrassed by this and got a victory with a score of 6-1, 6-2.

In the quarterfinals of the tournament, Schwentek was stronger than the main contender for the title Simona Halep (6-1, 6-2) in all respects. Then, after the match, the Romanian tennis player clearly described the game of the young rival, noting that she completely overlaps the court and responds powerfully to every blow. The victory over Halep clearly added self-confidence to Iga. In the last two matches in Paris, Schwentek convincingly outplayed Trevisan (6-3, 6-1) and Podoroska (6-2, 6-1).

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Sofia Kenin

More than once, 21-year-old Sophia Kenin has fully manifested herself at an adult level. Even before her triumph at the Australian Open, Sofia won three WTA titles in 2019. However, there were no serious prerequisites for predicting its success at Roland Garros. Indeed, in her first official match on clay this year in Rome, the tennis player devastatingly lost to Victoria Azarenka (0-6, 0-6), after which she refused to participate in the pre-helmet tournament in Strasbourg.

The path to the final performed by Sofia Kenin was not as easy and confident as that of Schwentek. In four of the six games played, the tennis player gave sets to her rivals. The last three matches for Kenin turned out to be very difficult. In the 1/8 finals, she was opposed by the talented local tennis player Fiona Ferro (2-6, 6-2, 6-1). Collins was next, who managed to knock out one of the favorites Garbinier Mugurusu from the tournament bracket (6-4, 4-6, 6-0). In these matches, she managed to add noticeably during the game and put the squeeze on rivals in the decisive sets.

Sofia almost missed an advantage during the game in the semifinals with experienced Petra Kvitova (6-4, 7-5). In the second set, she could not close the match on her serve, but she managed to correct the situation during the reception. Let's note in the match against Kvitova that Kenin played very convincingly at break points. She had only five chances at the reception, of which four were successful. Kvitova made only two of her 12 break points.


In the line of bookmakers for the final match of two young tennis players, Iga Schwentek is the favorite. It cannot be said that Sofia Kenin is in some way inferior to Iga in terms of her talent and potential. Moreover, the US representative has experience of winning the Slam final. Then, in Melbourne, in the decisive match, Kenin vs. Mugurusa also went as the underdog of the bookmakers with similar odds as now.

In the last three matches at Roland Garros, Sofia had difficult rivals, but in each of the fights she worked reliably at key moments of the matches, showing convincing performance in winners-enforcers, playing in an aggressive manner. Kenin itself is very balanced, without weak points. Schwentek will not have a tangible advantage in the power of the blows. In the attack, she will have to work out a lot on the back line and try to play deep under the back line. After the match with Halep, the Polish tennis player had comfortable tennis players in many ways. Now we will have to rebuild and it is far from the fact that the young Iga will be able to adjust immediately to the game of Sofia.

We think that there is a certain overestimation of Schwentek's capabilities in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, chances of winning the final are equal. Taking into account the proposed coefficients, we offer a forecast for the set taken by Kenin.

Our prediction is Kenin's victory with a handicap (+1.5) in sets for a coefficient of 1.60 in BC 1xBet.

Place a bet on the line of 1xBet with odds of 1.60

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